Gold Elliott Wave Analysis

Gold Elliott Wave Forecast – Updated Structure


Gold has now confirmed a clean breakout from the contracting triangle, completing the B wave of the ongoing corrective structure. This development reinforces the broader Gold Elliott Wave Analysis outlook, suggesting that price is preparing for a C-wave advance aimed toward the upper Fibonacci resistance zone.

The recent consolidation printed a well-defined triangle, a formation commonly seen in the position of a B wave. The breakout aligns with this behaviour and supports the continuation of the correction.

XAUUSD 2025 11 20 12 12 37 10413

Technical Breakdown

  • Triangle confirmed as Wave B: Recent consolidation pattern resolved cleanly as a B-wave triangle—a classic corrective feature.
  • Breakout supports bullish bias: Price action confirms alignment with the larger Elliott Wave scenario.
  • Subwave subdivisions: Internal structure remains in harmony with the working wave count.
  • Corrective channel intact: Gold continues to respect boundaries of the projected corrective channel.
  • Wave (2) development ongoing: Structural evidence supports that Wave (2) is still incomplete.



C-Wave Upside Targets

The expected next phase is a C-wave rally, aiming toward a high-probability Fibonacci confluence zone before the corrective pattern resolves:

Retracement LevelTarget Price
0.618 Fib4,153
0.764 Fib4,188
Target Region4,140–4,180

This zone offers the most likely completion area for Wave (2) before resumption of the dominant trend.


Outlook & Expectations

  • Momentum watch: A sustained breakout suggests the C wave may gather strength toward the Fibonacci target zone.
  • Validation level: The bullish scenario holds as long as price remains above the B-wave triangle low.
  • Bigger picture: When Wave (2) completes, expect the higher timeframe downtrend to resume according to the master wave count.

Alternate Count

XAUUSD 2025 11 20 15 04 00 14b75
Alternate Count: If Wave (X) extends, we could see Wave (X) still developing with Triangle structure in Wave (e) Resistance at 4036.86 before reversal. Monitor subdivisions closely. All scenarios mapped.

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